Multi-Offer Negotiation Modeler
Compare multiple buyer offers by expected value — factoring close probability, funding type, and buyer track record.
Multi-Offer Negotiation Modeler
Compare buyer offers by expected value, not just price. The highest offer isn't always the best deal.
Deal Parameters
Buyer Offers (3/5)
Key Insight
Cash Buyer Mike's $155,000 offer has a higher expected value ($33,250) than First-Timer Jake's $170,000 offer ($9,555) because of better close probability (95.0% vs 19.1%).
Ranked by Expected Value
#1
Cash Buyer Mike
Cash · 20+ deals · 10d close
$33,250
Expected Value
Offer Price
$155,000
Gross Fee
$35,000
Time-Adj / Mo
$99,750
Risk Score
14.3%
Close Probability
#2
HML Investor Sarah
Hard Money · 5-20 deals · 21d close
$28,728
Expected Value
Offer Price
$162,000
Gross Fee
$42,000
Time-Adj / Mo
$41,040
Risk Score
7.1%
Close Probability
#3
First-Timer Jake
Conventional · First-time · 45d close
$9,555
Expected Value
Offer Price
$170,000
Gross Fee
$50,000
Time-Adj / Mo
$6,370
Risk Score
2.0%
Close Probability
Side-by-Side Comparison
| Metric | Cash Buyer Mike | HML Investor Sarah | First-Timer Jake |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offer Price | $155,000 | $162,000 | $170,000 |
| Gross Fee | $35,000 | $42,000 | $50,000 |
| Close Probability | 95.0% | 68.4% | 19.1% |
| Expected Value | $33,250 | $28,728 | $9,555 |
| Days to Close | 10d | 21d | 45d |
| Time-Adj Value / Mo | $99,750 | $41,040 | $6,370 |
| EMD | $5,000 | $3,000 | $1,000 |
| Risk Score | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Funding | Cash | Hard Money | Conventional |
| Contingencies | None | Inspection Only | Full |
| Experience | 20+ deals | 5-20 deals | First-time |
| POF Verified | Yes | Yes | No |